Variables | Univariate Model [1] | Multivariate Model 12 | Multivariate Model 23 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coefficient [4] (95% CI) | RE % [5] | P value | Coefficient4 (95% CI) | RE % [5] | P value | Coefficient4 (95% CI) | RE % [5] | P value | |
Indigenous status | |||||||||
 Non-indigenous | Reference | – | – | Reference | – | – | Reference | – | – |
 Indigenous | 0.06 (− 0.18–0.30) | 6.2 | 0.618 | − 0.05 (− 0.29–0.19) | −4.9 | 0.687 | −0.04 (− 0.32–0.23) | −4.1 | 0.765 |
Time post-transplant (months) | |||||||||
 0 | Reference | – | – | Reference | – | – | Reference | – | – |
 3 | 0.29 (0.24–0.35) | 34.2 | < 0.001 | 0.30 (0.24–0.35) | 34.7 | < 0.001 | 0.33 (0.27–0.39) | 39.2 | < 0.001 |
 6 | 0.80 (0.75–0.86) | 123.2 | < 0.001 | 0.81 (0.75–0.86) | 123.9 | < 0.001 | 0.84 (0.78–0.90) | 132.6 | < 0.001 |
 12 | 1.23 (1.18–1.29) | 243.1 | < 0.001 | 1.24 (1.18–1.29) | 243.1 | < 0.001 | 1.26 (1.20–1.32) | 251.4 | < 0.001 |
 24 | 1.46 (1.40–1.51) | 328.7 | < 0.001 | 1.46 (1.40–1.52) | 328.7 | < 0.001 | 1.48 (1.41–1.54) | 337.6 | < 0.001 |
BMI at time of transplantation | 0.95 (0.94–0.96) | 159.5 | < 0.001 | 0.96 (0.96–0.97) | 159.5 | < 0.001 | 0.97 (0.96–0.98) | 162.8 | < 0.001 |
Indigenous status x time (months) | |||||||||
 post-transplant (interaction) [6] |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | – |
  Indigenous and 3 | 0.02 (−0.23–0.26) | 1.7 | 0.894 | 0.01 (−0.24–0.26) | 0.8 | 0.950 | − 0.003 (− 0.27–0.26) | −0.3 | 0.98 |
  Indigenous and 6 | 0.28 (0.03–0.53) | 32.5 | 0.029 | 0.27 (0.02–0.53) | 31.4 | 0.034 | 0.34 (0.07–0.61) | 40.9 | 0.012 |
  Indigenous and 12 | 0.60 (0.34–0.86) | 81.8 | < 0.001 | 0.59 (0.33–0.85) | 80.5 | < 0.001 | 0.61 (0.34–0.88) | 84.1 | < 0.001 |
  Indigenous and 24 | 0.44 (0.16–0.72) | 55.0 | < 0.01 | 0.43 (0.15–0.71) | 54.0 | < 0.01 | 0.45 (0.16–0.74) | 57.1 | < 0.01 |
Recipient age, years |  |  |  | −0.03 (− 0.033--.026) | −2.9 | < 0.001 | − 0.03 (− 0.04--0.03) | −3.1 | < 0.001 |
Gender | |||||||||
 Male |  |  |  | Reference | – | – | Reference | – | – |
 Female |  |  |  | 0.20 (0.11–0.28) | 21.9 | < 0.001 | 0.21 (0.12–0.31) | 23.6 | < 0.001 |
Current smoking status | |||||||||
 No |  |  |  | Reference | – | – | Reference | – | – |
 Yes |  |  |  | 0.09 (−0.03–0.21) | 9.5 | 0.151 | 0.08 (− 0.05–0.21) | 8.3 | 0.245 |
Diabetes Mellitus | |||||||||
 No |  |  |  | Reference | – | – | Reference | – | – |
 Yes |  |  |  | 0.02 (−0.10–0.14) | 2.0 | 0.748 | 0.01 (−0.12–0.15) | 1.4 | 0.845 |
Coronary artery disease | |||||||||
 No |  |  |  | Reference | – | – | Reference | – | – |
 Yes |  |  |  | 0.17 (0.05–0.29) | 18.6 | < 0.01 | 0.18 (0.05–0.32) | 20.1 | < 0.01 |
Cerebrovascular disease | |||||||||
 No |  |  |  | Reference | – | – | Reference | – | – |
 Yes |  |  |  | −0.16 (−0.35–0.03) | −14.7 | 0.095 | −0.18 (− 0.39–0.03) | −16.2 | 0.096 |
Peripheral vascular disease | |||||||||
 No |  |  |  | Reference | – | – | Reference | – | – |
 Yes |  |  |  | −0.04 (−0.20–0.11) | −4.2 | 0.585 | −0.05 (− 0.22–0.13) | −4.5 | 0.600 |
Total ischemia time |  |  |  | −0.02 (− 0.03--.01) | − 1.8 | < 0.001 | − 0.02 (− 0.03–0.02) | −1.7 | < 0.001 |
HLA antigen mismatch |  |  |  | − 0.02 (− 0.04–0.01) | −1.6 | 0.222 | −0.01 (− 0.04–0.02) | −1.1 | 0.422 |
Dialysis vintage | |||||||||
 Pre-emptive |  |  |  | Reference | – | – | Reference | – | – |
 < 1 year |  |  |  | −0.01 (−0.82–0.79) | −1.2 | 0.977 | 0.01 (−0.87–0.89) | 1.2 | 0.978 |
 1–5 years |  |  |  | −0.04 (− 0.84–0.75) | −4.4 | 0.912 | −0.01 (− 0.89–0.86) | −1.1 | 0.980 |
 > 5 years |  |  |  | −0.14 (− 0.94–0.66) | −12.8 | 0.737 | −0.09 (− 0.97–0.79) | −8.3 | 0.846 |
Transplantation era | |||||||||
 1995–1999 |  |  |  | Reference | – | – | Reference | – | – |
 2000–2004 |  |  |  | −0.05 (−0.18–0.07) | −5.2 | 0.415 | −0.08 (− 0.22–0.05) | − 8.0 | 0.235 |
 2005–2009 |  |  |  | 0.07 (−0.06–0.20) | 7.4 | 0.283 | 0.04 (−0.10–0.18) | 4.2 | 0.570 |
 2010–2014 |  |  |  | 0.14 (0.01–0.27) | 15.2 | 0.029 | 0.12 (−0.03–0.26) | 12.3 | 0.121 |
Donor age |  |  |  | −0.01 (− 0.01--0.004) | −0.7 | < 0.001 | − 0.01 (− 0.01--0.004) | −0.7 | < 0.001 |
Donor gender | |||||||||
 Male |  |  |  | Reference | – | – | Reference | – | – |
 Female |  |  |  | 0.02 (−0.06–0.10) | 1.9 | 0.663 | 0.02 (−0.07–0.11) | 2.1 | 0.651 |
Rejection | |||||||||
 No |  |  |  |  |  |  | Reference | – | – |
 Yes |  |  |  |  |  |  | −0.10 (−0.20–0.004) | −9.6 | 0.058 |
Delayed graft function | |||||||||
 No |  |  |  |  |  |  | Reference | – | – |
 Yes |  |  |  |  |  |  | −0.17 (− 0.28--0.05) | −15.3 | < 0.001 |
Prednisolone doses quarterly (mg) | |||||||||
 0 |  |  |  |  |  |  | −0.26 (− 0.44--0.09) | −22.9 | < 0.001 |
 1–4.99 mg |  |  |  |  |  |  | 0.20 (−0.03–0.43) | 29.7 | 0.08 |
 5–6.99 mg |  |  |  |  |  |  | Reference | – | – |
 7–9.99 mg |  |  |  |  |  |  | −0.03 (−0.16–0.09) | −3.0 | 0.59 |
 10+ mg |  |  |  |  |  |  | −0.11 (− 0.22–0.01) | −10.4 | 0.06 |
Constant/intercept | 1.22 (0.98–1.46) | < 0.001 | – | 2.87 (2.02–3.73) | – | < 0.001 | 2.74 (1.80–3.69) | – | < 0.001 |