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Table 2 Predictive performance and discrimination power

From: Comparison between three different equations for the estimation of glomerular filtration rate in predicting mortality after coronary artery bypass

 

eGFR

AUC

95% CI

De Long

Bootstrap

Venkatraman

Somers

Brier

All

 

CKD-EPI

0.77

0.73–0.81

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

0.54

0.01

MDRD

0.55

0.50–0.61

0.65†

0.61†

0.76†

0.11

0.02

CG

0.52

0.47–0.57

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

0.04

0.02

eGFR

> = 60 ml/min./1.73m2

CKD-EPI

0.78

0.73–0.82

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

0.55

0.01

MDRD

0.57

0.50–0.63

< 0.01†

< 0.01†

< 0.01†

0.13

0.02

CG

0.73

0.69–0.75

0.57‡

0.54‡

0.60‡

0.44

0.01

45–59 ml/min./1.73m2

CKD-EPI

0.67

0.57–0.77

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

0.34

0.01

MDRD

0.59

0.49–0.69

< 0.01†

< 0.01†

< 0.01†

0.18

0.02

CG

0.65

0.60–0.69

0.67‡

0.66‡

0.69‡

0.30

0.01

30–44 ml/min./1.73m2

CKD-EPI

0.63

0.55–0.71

0.04*

0.04*

0.04*

0.25

0.03

MDRD

0.53

0.40–0.67

0.45†

0.43†

0.55†

0.07

0.05

CG

0.57

0.43–0.71

0.04‡

0.04‡

0.04‡

0.15

0.04

<=29 ml/min./1.73m2

CKD-EPI

0.53

0.35–0.71

0.35*

0.32*

0.54*

0.06

0.13

MDRD

0.65

0.48–0.82

0.10†

0.09†

0.16†

0.30

0.14

CG

0.49

0.27–0.71

0.23‡

0.20‡

0.28‡

0.02

0.13

Age

AGE > =60 y

CKD-EPI

0.68

0.63–0.74

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

0.37

0.02

MDRD

0.57

0.51–0.63

0.58†

0.52†

0.63†

0.14

0.03

CG

0.54

0.48–0.60

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

0.09

0.03

AGE 40–59 y

CKD-EPI

0.81

0.70–0.92

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

0.62

0.02

MDRD

0.59

0.48–0.70

< 0.01†

< 0.01†

< 0.01†

0.17

0.03

CG

0.86

0.80–0.91

0.45‡

0.41‡

0.52‡

0.72

0.01

AGE 18–39 y

CKD-EPI

0.82

0.72–0.96

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

0.64

0.06

MDRD

0.57

0.46–0.72

0.03†

0.02†

0.04†

0.14

0.09

CG

0.47

0.08–0.85

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

0.06

0.12

Gender

Male

CKD-EPI

0.76

0.71–0.82

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

0.53

0.01

MDRD

0.55

0.49–0.61

0.04†

0.04†

0.04†

0.10

0.02

CG

0.51

0.45–0.57

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

0.03

0.02

Female

CKD-EPI

0.72

0.66–0.78

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

0.44

0.02

MDRD

0.55

0.43–0.66

0.03†

0.03†

0.04†

0.09

0.04

CG

0.50

0.43–0.57

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

0.01

0.06

Weight

> = 100 Kg

CKD-EPI

0.81

0.66–0.97

0.01*

0.01*

0.02*

0.63

0.05

MDRD

0.50

0.31–0.70

0.04†

0.04†

0.04†

0.01

0.07

CG

0.48

0.26–0.69

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

0.04

0.08

80–99 Kg

CKD-EPI

0.77

0.69–0.84

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

0.53

0.01

MDRD

0.52

0.41–0.62

0.04†

0.04†

0.04†

0.04

0.02

CG

0.50

0.40–0.62

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

0.03

0.03

60–79 Kg

CKD-EPI

0.79

0.74–0.84

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

0.59

0.01

MDRD

0.56

0.49–0.63

0.02†

0.02†

0.03†

0.12

0.02

CG

0.50

0.43–0.57

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

0.01

0.03

<=59 Kg

CKD-EPI

0.69

0.56–0.83

0.01*

0.03*

0.02*

0.39

0.03

MDRD

0.55

0.41–0.69

0.48†

0.45†

0.56†

0.11

0.03

CG

0.53

0.38–0.68

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

0.07

0.04

BMI

> = 30 Kg/m2

CKD-EPI

0.81

0.71–0.92

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

0.63

0.01

MDRD

0.53

0.37–0.69

0.03†

0.03†

0.04†

0.06

0.02

CG

0.46

0.28–0.64

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

0.06

0.03

25–29 Kg/m2

CKD-EPI

0.76

0.70–0.82

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

0.52

0.01

MDRD

0.55

0.47–0.63

0.01†

< 0.01†

0.02†

0.10

0.02

CG

0.45

0.37–0.53

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

0.01

0.04

18.5–24 Kg/m2

CKD-EPI

0.77

0.70–0.83

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

< 0.01*

0.53

0.01

MDRD

0.57

0.49–0.66

0.00†

< 0.01†

0.01†

0.15

0.02

CG

0.47

0.39–0.56

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

0.04

0.04

<=18.5 Kg/m2

CKD-EPI

0.77

0.62–0.92

0.04*

0.04*

0.04*

0.54

0.14

MDRD

0.52

0.27–0.66

0.65†

0.62†

0.70†

0.03

0.13

CG

0.53

0.13–0.94

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

< 0.01‡

0.07

0.12

  1. Best performance for: Brier score = 0, AUC = 1, Somers’ Dxy = 1. Abbreviations: eGFR: estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate; CI: Confidence Interval; CKD-EPI: Chronic Kidney Disease-Epidemiology Collaboration Formula; MDRD: Modification of Diet in Renal Disease Formula; CG: Cockroft-Gault Formula; BMI: Body Mass Index.* CKD-EPI vs MDRD; † MDRD vs CG; ‡ CG vs CKD-EPI