region | 1990PAF | 2019PAF | % change | AAPC | P-Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Global | |||||
High temperature | −0.07(−4.44 to 2.70) | 0.53(−1.52 to 2.05) | −903.97(− 1125.73 to 1395.84) | – | – |
Low temperature | 4.55(2.60 to 6.43) | 3.97(2.15 to 5.60) | −12.71(−25.62 to 1.70) | − 0.6(− 0.7 to − 0.5) | < 0.001 |
Lead exposure | 3.16(1.90 to 4.63) | 2.92(1.70 to 4.33) | −7.60(− 13.74 to −3.33) | − 0.2(− 0.4 to − 0.1) | 0.003 |
Diet high in sodium | 6.65(2.12 to 13.92) | 6.11(1.50 to 13.95) | −8.20(− 34.98 to 1.56) | − 0.2(− 0.3 to − 0.2) | < 0.001 |
High fasting plasma glucose | 29.15(24.92 to 33.18) | 30.89(26.49 to 34.95) | 5.99(1.48 to 9.25) | 0.2(0.2 to 0.3) | < 0.001 |
High systolic blood pressure | 47.48(42.63 to 52.14) | 51.36(45.96 to 56.42) | 8.17(4.17 to 11.30) | 0.3(0.3 to 0.3) | < 0.001 |
High body-mass index | 15.80(8.35 to 25.53) | 26.46(16.69 to 37.46) | 67.48(42.97 to 105.85) | 1.9(1.8 to 1.9) | < 0.001 |
HICs | |||||
High temperature | 0.06 (−0.37 to 0.30) | 0.22(− 0.36 to 0.59) | 248.12(− 1088.38 to 1044.41) | – | – |
Low temperature | 6.47 (3.83 to 9.26) | 5.99(3.53 to 8.53) | −7.33(− 14.91 to 3.27) | − 0.4(− 0.5 to − 0.3) | < 0.001 |
Lead exposure | 1.70 (0.57 to 3.08) | 1.28(0.34 to 2.57) | −24.61(−42.43 to − 16.04) | −1.0(− 1.1 to − 0.8) | < 0.001 |
Diet high in sodium | 5.46 (1.22 to 13.14) | 4.73(0.57 to 12.79) | − 13.34(− 55.06 to − 1.63) | − 0.7(− 0.7 to − 0.6) | < 0.001 |
High fasting plasma glucose | 27.10 (22.85 to 31.16) | 30.67(26.07 to 34.97) | 13.14(9.99 to 16.45) | 0.4(0.3 to 0.5) | < 0.001 |
High systolic blood pressure | 57.45 (51.66 to 62.62) | 54.68(49.03 to 60.1) | −4.82(−6.9 to − 2.81) | − 0.3(− 0.3 to − 0.2) | < 0.001 |
High body-mass index | 27.88 (16.65 to 40.47) | 36.3(24.02 to 49.32) | 30.23(18.03 to 51.6) | 0.9(0.8 to 1.0) | < 0.001 |
LICs | |||||
High temperature | − 0.02(− 7.62 to 4.55) | 0.63(− 3.67 to 2.40) | − 3026.12(− 877.52 to 676.46) | – | – |
Low temperature | 3.71(1.90 to 5.38) | 3.24(1.46 to 4.93) | − 12.62(− 26.55 to 5.47) | –0.6(–0.7 to –0.5) | < 0.001 |
Lead exposure | 3.66(2.29 to 5.20) | 3.73(2.34 to 5.24) | 1.73(− 6.07 to 8.71) | 0.0(-0.1 to 0.2) | 0.474 |
Diet high in sodium | 5.71(0.86 to 15.00) | 4.92(0.48 to 14.20) | −13.83(− 51.75 to − 1.40) | −0.6(−0.6 to −0.6) | < 0.001 |
High fasting plasma glucose | 28.49(23.32 to 33.25) | 29.15(24.25 to 33.42) | 2.31(− 2.66 to 6.55) | 0.1(0.0 to 0.1) | < 0.001 |
High systolic blood pressure | 48.85(43.66 to 54.11) | 52.62(47.37 to 57.61) | 7.72(0.82 to 11.89) | 0.3(0.2 to 0.3) | < 0.001 |
High body-mass index | 10.94(4.62 to 20.08) | 18.64(10.40 to 28.84) | 70.37(40.14 to 133.32) | 2.0(1.8 to 2.2) | < 0.001 |
Lower MICs | |||||
High temperature | −0.14(−8.82 to 5.31) | 0.90(− 2.38 to 3.56) | − 729.61(− 1321.80 to 1093.38) | – | – |
Low temperature | 2.59(0.50 to 4.49) | 2.56(0.23 to 4.52) | −1.32(− 50.39 to 36.88) | −0.4(−0.6 to −0.2) | < 0.001 |
Lead exposure | 4.20(2.79 to 5.79) | 3.97(2.60 to 5.50) | − 5.35(− 11.02 to − 0.82) | −0.2(−0.4 to −0.1) | 0.012 |
Diet high in sodium | 5.15(0.98 to 12.41) | 4.97(0.62 to 12.68) | −3.53(− 39.12 to 4.48) | −0.1(−0.1 to 0.0) | < 0.001 |
High fasting plasma glucose | 30.02(25.17 to 34.53) | 32.52(27.66 to 37.00) | 8.33(3.62 to 12.33) | 0.3(0.3 to 0.4) | < 0.001 |
High systolic blood pressure | 48.13(43.14 to 53.29) | 51.82(46.08 to 57.17) | 7.66(2.87 to 11.00) | 0.3(0.3 to 0.3) | < 0.001 |
High body-mass index | 11.18(5.19 to 19.70) | 23.68(14.51 to 34.14) | 111.83(66.28 to 196.48) | 2.7(2.7 to 2.8) | < 0.001 |
Upper MICs | |||||
High temperature | −0.03(−1.47 to 0.82) | 0.21(−0.67 to 0.77) | −858.03(− 1391.68 to 1289.47) | – | – |
Low temperature | 5.83(3.17 to 8.40) | 4.79(2.78 to 6.75) | −17.73(−26.50 to −3.66) | − 0.8(−0.9 to −0.7) | < 0.001 |
Lead exposure | 3.07(1.82 to 4.52) | 2.90(1.67 to 4.37) | −5.67(− 11.73 to − 0.70) | 0.0(-0.1 to 0.2) | 0.846 |
Diet high in sodium | 9.49(3.90 to 17.23) | 8.74(3.05 to 17.12) | −7.83(− 30.95 to 5.14) | − 0.1(-0.2 to 0.0) | 0.041 |
High fasting plasma glucose | 31.37(27.18 to 35.03) | 31.79(27.68 to 35.63) | 1.35(− 2.72 to 5.80) | 0.1(0.0 to 0.1) | < 0.001 |
High systolic blood pressure | 45.87(40.97 to 50.79) | 53.64(48.10 to 59.04) | 16.94(12.55 to 22.01) | 0.6(0.6 to 0.7) | < 0.001 |
High body-mass index | 16.71(8.67 to 27.05) | 29.01(18.14 to 41.21) | 73.58(48.84 to 113.01) | 1.9(1.9 to 2.0) | < 0.001 |